ZUFFA LLC, parent company of the Ultimate Fighting Championships (UFC) home is in Las Vegas, Nevada. Not only is Las Vegas home to the UFC but is arguably the gambling capital of the world. Billions of dollars are won and lost in Vegas aka Sin City each year.
With one of the UFC's biggest fights of the year happening this Friday night, (Pay Per View starts at its old time of 10pm ET) between two monsters Brock Lesnar and Alistair Overeem it is a good time to explain how to bet Mixed Martial Arts and give some fight predictions.
Lets explain how Mixed Martial Arts betting works with this Friday's UFC 141 PPV main event. Other sites use units etc to determine betting but who cares about that(no disrespect if you do). All I care about is the bottom line. Dollars and cents.
Betting lines were taken from betus.com and up to the minute as of December 30, 2011 at 8:55 AM . Lines constantly change from when they open til they close.
The line for the 5 round, main event fight for UFC 141 between Brock Lesnar and Alistair Overeem is
How to read this line is the favorite of the bout is Overeem at -155. The favorite is always identified as a minus (-) with a number next to it, which that number is set by oddsmakers. The underdog in the bout is Lesnar at +125. The underdog always has a plus (+) before the number the oddsmakers set.
Now lets break down how to place the bets. If you wanted to win $100 on Overeem, whose line is -155 you would need to bet $155. If you wanted to bet on Lesnar who is +125, you would need to bet $100 to win $125.
Also bets are being taken on how long the fights will last. The 1 1/2 number is representing what the odds makers feel the fight will last. Which is 1.5 rounds, which translates to 7 minutes and thirty seconds. Each UFC round is 5 minutes in length. If you think the fight will last under that, you need to bet $200 to win $100 because the under number (U) is -200. If you think the fight (which is 5 rounds) is going to last longer than a round and a half, you need to bet $100 to win $160 because the over (O) is +160.
To further the understanding I'll throw random numbers out there, and show what you need to pay and what you can win.
+120 Bet $100 to win $120
+170 Bet $100 to win $170
+260 Bet $100 to win $260
-120 Bet $120 to win $100
-170 Bet $170 to win $100
-260 Bet $260 to win $100
BETUS.com like other sites also do fun proposition bets as well. A sample of these and sticking with the UFC 141 main event are:
Brock Lesnar wins by KO, TKO, or DQ +150
Brock Lesnar wins by Submission +800
Brock Lesnar wins by Decision +600
Alistair Overeem wins by KO, TKO, or DQ -125
Alistair Overeem wins by Submission +400
Alistair Overeem wins by Decision +600
Fight outcome is a draw +5000
Some helpful tips when betting MMA as well. Remember first and foremost its MMA, anything can and usually happens. Its a coin flip. When breaking down the fighter you want to bet on see who they have fought, who they have beat, lost too and the method of the victories and defeats they have had as well. I find doing the same thing on the guy they are going to fight is beneficial as well. When looking at fighters there are certain Mixed Martial Artists who beat guys they should, however when they get to that next level of competition they consistently faulter. A few other factors to consider is who the fighters coaches are, training partners and word on the street. (ie regarding how the training camp is going, mental approach to fight and injuries)
Another thing to look at is tendancies. Jon Fitch is a perfect example for this point. Fitch who in our rankings is the #2 welterweight fighter in the world is known as a grinding fighter, who often does not finish fights. There is nothing wrong with being a grinding fighter. I may be in the minority, but I like Fitch and his style. For betting purposes with Fitch a couple things to note:
1. In his last 9 fights they have all gone the distance. 6 of those 9 have been unanimous decision victories for Fitch.
2. In the last 8 years, Fitch has only had one true loss and one draw. (GSP UFC 87, and BJ Penn, UFC 127
There is never a sure thing in MMA, however there is a few guys I would never bet against. Anderson Silva, Jon Fitch, GSP, and Jon Jones.
If you wanted to bet this weekends UFC 141 card, I would be comfortable telling you to bet Jon Fitch to win, and the fight will go the distance all day.
You can bet any amount of money you would like, the payout of course would be different if you win (which we hope). A $100 bet is easy to understand and break down. If you have any questions or comments feel free to post them in the comment section below.
Here is my fight picks with betting odds for this weekends UFC 141 event.
The classic striker vs wrestler match up. Lesnar a former NCAA Division 1 champion and former UFC Heavyweight champion is coming off another bout of diverticulitis and surgery. Hopefully the surgery once and for all corrected the sickness Lesnar has been plagued with the better part of 2 years. Lesnar has some huge questions to answer with this fight. Some being can he take a punch, should he be considered a top MMA heavyweight and can he impose his gameplan on the best heavyweight striker in MMA? Overeem, the former Strikeforce Heavyweight champion, Dream Interim Heavyweight champion and K-1 champion takes a huge step up in competition and is trying to make a name for himself facing the biggest name in MMA. I see this fight starting with Lesnar rushing at Overeem and securing a quick takedown because Overeem will be surprised by Lesnar's athleticsm. Overeem will get back to his feet though, slow the pace down and start finding his range, while Lesnar unsuccessfully tries for takedown attempts. The round will end, with the agressor winning the round. Round 2 is going to be much different. Overeem will become comfortable, will no longer have his octagon jitters, and will find his range. Overeem will start to pick Lesnar apart with kicks and crisps strikes until Lesnar gets caught and the referee stops the bout.
WINNER: ALISTAIR "THE REEM" OVEREEM, 2ND ROUND TKO
The highly anticipated co-main event has UFC lightweight title implications riding on it, regardless of what UFC brass say. Nate Diaz is the gatekeeper of the 155lb division. Diaz has gone 4-5 in his last 9 fights. The four wins he has had in this stretch, Diaz has beaten the guys he was supposed too(Markham, Gomi, and Davis). Two of the wins Diaz has had, those fighters are no longer with the UFC. If Gomi does not win at UFC 144 he will not be either. The other win Diaz had was against Melvin Guillard. I can argue Guillard was not in the right mental/physical state when they fought the first time. If Diaz and Guillard were to rematch the outcome may be a lot different. Cerrone who is one of MMA's hottest fighters with 4 wins in 2011, is looking to make a statement that he deserves the next shot at UFC lightweight gold. In Cerrone's last 9 fights he is 7-2. Losing only to Ben Henderson twice. This fight has had some bad blood with Cerrone saying "To be tough, you do not have to be from Stockton." Also at the UFC 141 presser on Wednesday, some choice comments were said to cause Diaz to push Cerrone and flip his Cowboy hat off his head. This fight has fight of the night written all over it. This fight will be a WAR. Diaz has a very hyped Brazilian Jiu Jitsu (BJJ) game, however Cerrone's is underrated. An interesting tidbit here is that in MMA competition Cerrone has more submission wins with 13, than Diaz's 10. I see this fight being primarily on the feet, because the BJJ game of both is pretty equal. Diaz will have a three inch reach with a very good boxing game, which could keep Cerrone at bay. However I see the first round being a toss up with Diaz talking and jabbing a lot but Cerrone will use crisp Muay Thai leg kicks to soften Diaz and pick him apart to a unanimous decision win.
WINNER: DONALD "THE COWBOY" CERRONE, UNANIMOUS DECISION
As long as Fitch recognises and respects that Hendricks has a good boxing game and power in his hands he will win this fight. Fitch is almost as close as a sure thing as there is in MMA. Fitch is a grinder. He takes criticism from fans and media for his grappling heavy performances, but it is effective. Hendricks is outmatched in this fight.
WINNER: JON FITCH, UNANIMOUS DECISION
Gustafsson is going to be a future 205lb contender. At 24 years old Gustafsson is a very well rounded Mixed Martial Artist. With 12 pro MMA wins to his credit, all but one has been a stoppage. The fight with the veteran Matyushenko will be very similar to the fight Vlad had with current UFC light heavyweight champion Jon Jones. The forty year old Matyushenko will be over matched by the new generation of MMA athlete in Gustafsson.
WINNER: ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON, TKO, ROUND 1
Hettes is 9-0 in his pro MMA career. All 9 wins have been by submission. Phan has never been submitted. Tonight is going to be the first time Phan taps out. Hettes makes a name for himself tonight, and wins submission of the night too.
WINNER: JIM HETTES, SUBMISSION-REAR NAKED CHOKE, ROUND 2
Ross Pearson and Junior Assuncao both make the drop to the featherweight division in this fight. Pearson lost a very close split decision to fast rising and up and comer Edson Barboza in his last bout in a very hostile enviroment. (UFC 134) The season 9 Ultimate Fighter winner will be too much for Assuncao and this bout will also get Fight of the Night consideration.
WINNER: ROSS "THE REAL DEAL" PEARSON, UNANIMOUS DECISION
Another fight of the night contender. This bout is what die hard MMA fans love to see on betting lines. The muay thai practioner Njokuani getting no love. This fight if it stays on the feet will favor Njokuani. To win Njokuani needs to respect the early power of Castillo and stick with his game plan
WINNER (AND PULLING THE UPSET WIN): ANTHONY NJOKUANI, UNANIMOUS DECISION
|Dong Hyun Kim|
With this bout I am wondering if Dong Hyun Kim got matchmaker Joe Silva or Dana White a really nice christmas present for the bone they threw Kim. As long as Kim wasnt affected too much by the Condit KO at UFC 132, and respects the heavy hands of Pierson he wins.
WINNER: DONG HYUN KIM, UNANIMOUS DECISION
I do not understand what the oddsmakers are thinking with this betting line at all. They are giving Efrain Escudero 0 respect. Granted Escudero is taking this fight on short notice, however remember he is the Ultimate Fighter Season 8 winner. I feel Escudero is the better overall fighter, and that he had some unfortunate breaks inside the Octagon. If Escudero stays away from Volkmans game which is grappling and keeps it standing victory awaits.
WINNER: EFRAIN ESCUDERO, WINS VIA TKO, ROUND 2(PULLING OFF A HUGE WIN)
WINNER: MATT RIDDLE, SPLIT DECISION
How did Manny Gamburyan and Diego Nunes go from headling/co headlining UFC/WEC events to the first bout of the evening? Regardless, this fight ensures I will be watching on facebook as soon as the prelims start. Team Nova Uniao fighter Diego Nunes gets the win, and back on track to get a shot at teammate Jose Aldo's UFC featherweight title. The loss makes Gamburyan wonder what is next.
WINNER: DIEGO NUNES, UNANIMOUS DECISION (GREAT FIGHT)